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Q4 2013 Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Earnings Conference Call
Monday, January 27, 2014 10:00 a.m. ET
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1050 Caribbean Way
Miami, FL 33132
Phone (305) 539-6000
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
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Royal Caribbean Reports Better Than Expected Fourth Quarter Earnings and 2010 Outlook
MIAMI, Jan 28, 2010 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL; Oslo) today announced earnings for the fourth quarter and full year of 2009 and provided guidance for 2010.

Key Highlights

  • Fourth quarter 2009 net income increased to $3.4 million, or $0.02 per share, compared to net income of $1.5 million, or $0.01 per share in 2008. The results were better than the company's previous guidance of a loss of approximately ($0.05) per share due to stronger than expected revenues and continued good cost discipline.
  • Net Yields for the fourth quarter decreased 7.2% as compared to 2008 and guidance of a 7% to 8% decline.
  • Net Cruise Costs per APCD ("NCC") for the fourth quarter decreased 10.5% versus 2008. NCC excluding fuel for the fourth quarter declined 8.8% versus 2008.
  • For the full year 2009, Net Yields declined 14.2%; NCC excluding fuel declined 7.0%; and earnings per share were $0.75.
  • The company noted an improving booking environment and expects Net Yields for 2010 to improve 3% to 6% versus 2009. First quarter 2010 Net Yields are expected to improve approximately 2%.
  • NCC excluding fuel are expected to be flat to slightly up for the full year of 2010 and up around 1% in the first quarter. After adjusting for changes in currency, NCC excluding fuel are forecasted to be flat to down slightly for the first quarter and the full year.
  • EPS for the year (assuming current fuel prices) is expected to be in the range of $2.00 to $2.20 including $0.39 related to a legal settlement. The first quarter EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.25 to $0.30.

"Good cost discipline and better than expected revenues have enabled us to end 2009 on a decidedly upbeat note," said Richard D. Fain, chairman and chief executive officer. "We're happy to say goodbye to 2009 and pleased to embark on 2010 with an outlook of solid yield improvement, strong cost controls and improving returns to our shareholders." Fain continued, "We are also benefiting from the terrific success of our latest Oasis- and Solstice-class vessels. These ships are generating very healthy returns due to high guest satisfaction, excellent revenues and lower operating costs."

Fourth Quarter 2009 Results

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. today announced net income for the fourth quarter 2009 of $3.4 million, or $0.02 per share, compared to net income of $1.5 million, or $0.01 per share, in 2008.

Revenues were unchanged year over year at $1.5 billion for the fourth quarter of both 2009 and 2008. Net Yields decreased 7.2% from the prior year or 9.7% after adjusting for year over year changes in currency. Net Yields were at the upper end of previous guidance due to strength in both ticket and onboard revenues.

NCC decreased 10.5% from the prior year or 12.4% after adjusting for changes in currency. NCC excluding fuel, declined 8.8% from the prior year or 11.2% after adjusting for changes in currency.

Fuel costs were $5.0 million higher than the company's previous calculations. Fourth quarter pricing averaged $500 per metric ton and consumption was 325.2 thousand metric tons.

Full Year 2009 Results

Net income for the full year 2009 was $162.4 million, or $0.75 per share, compared to net income of $573.7 million, or $2.68 per share, for the full year 2008. Revenues for the full year 2009 declined to $5.9 billion from revenues of $6.5 billion for the full year 2008. Fuel costs per metric ton decreased 18% to $486 for the full year and consumption was 1,235,000 metric tons. Fuel expenses for the year would have been higher if not for a 3.7% consumption improvement per APCD during 2009. Since 2005 the company has reduced energy consumption per APCD by 11%.

Revenue Environment

The company reported that early "wave season" bookings have been encouraging and that since the beginning of September, new bookings have been running approximately 30% higher than the corresponding period a year ago. Current price levels are also ahead of the same time last year across the majority of the company's product groups.

The company reported that booked load factors and average per diems are ahead of same time last year for all four quarters and the full year. The company expects net yields to increase approximately 2% for the first quarter and between 3% and 6% for the full year. After adjusting for changes in currency, Net Yields are forecasted to be around flat in the first quarter and increase 3% to 5% for the full year.

"Wave season is off to a promising start," said Brian J. Rice, executive vice president and chief financial officer. "It is still early in the selling cycle for 2010, but our order book is stronger and prices are higher than at this same time last year. We clearly are not at pre-recession demand levels, but we are pleased to see solid yield recovery underway."

Legal Settlement

In addition to the previously disclosed $0.30 per share legal settlement, a further $0.09 per share gain will be recognized related to the settlement in the first quarter. As a result, a total of $0.39 will be recorded as a one-time gain in other income/(expense) during the first quarter of 2010.

Expense Guidance

NCC are forecasted to be flat for the first quarter and flat to up slightly for the full year 2010. After adjusting for changes in currency, NCC are forecasted to decline approximately (1%) in the first quarter and be flat for the full year.

Excluding fuel, NCC are expected to increase approximately 1% for the first quarter and are expected to be flat to up slightly for the full year. After adjusting for changes in currency, NCC excluding fuel are forecasted to be flat to down slightly for the first quarter and the full year.

Fuel Expense

The company does not forecast fuel price changes and its cost calculations are based on current at-the-pump prices net of hedging impacts. Based on today's fuel prices the company has included $163 million and $687 million of fuel expense in its first quarter and full year 2010 guidance, respectively.

The company's fuel consumption is currently 58% hedged for the first quarter. In keeping with its previously disclosed hedging strategy, forecasted consumption is now 50% hedged in 2010, 50% hedged in 2011 and 15% hedged in 2012.



                                         First Quarter 2010    Full Year 2010
                                         ------------------    --------------
    Fuel Consumption                          320,000 mt        1,379,000 mt
    Fuel Expenses                             $163 Million      $687 Million
    Percent Hedged (forward consumption)         58%                 50%
    Impact of 10% change in fuel prices       $7 Million        $34 Million


Forward Guidance Summary

The company provided the following estimates for the first quarter and full year 2010. Except for EPS, interest expense and depreciation & amortization, all estimates are as compared to the first quarter and full year 2009, respectively.




                                   First Quarter 2010      Full Year 2010
                                   ------------------      --------------
    EPS                               $0.25 - $0.30         $2.00 - $2.20
    Capacity                                9.2%                 11.4%
    Net Yields                             Approx. 2%          3% to 6%
    Net Cruise Costs per APCD            Approx. Flat     Flat to up slightly
    Net Cruise Costs per APCD,
     excluding Fuel                        Approx. 1%     Flat to up slightly
    Depreciation and
     Amortization                $155 to $160 Million    $640 to $660 Million
    Interest Expense               $82 to $87 Million    $330 to $350 Million


Liquidity and Financing Arrangements

As of December 31, 2009, liquidity was $0.9 billion, including cash and the undrawn portion of the company's unsecured revolving credit facility. The company recently announced financing arrangements for Allure of the Seas and further commented that outside of possible opportunistic actions, it does not anticipate a need to access the capital markets during 2010.

Capital Expenditures and Capacity Guidance

Based on current ship orders, projected capital expenditures for 2010, 2011 and 2012 are unchanged at $2.2 billion, $1.0 billion, and $1.0 billion, respectively.

Capacity increases for the same three years are 11.4%, 8.9% and 2.7%, respectively.

Conference Call Scheduled

The company has scheduled a conference call at 10 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time today to discuss its earnings. This call can be heard, either live or on a delayed basis, on the company's investor relations web site at www.rclinvestor.com.

Terminology

Available Passenger Cruise Days ("APCD")

APCDs are our measurement of capacity and represent double occupancy per cabin multiplied by the number of cruise days for the period.

Gross Cruise Costs

Gross Cruise Costs represent the sum of total cruise operating expenses plus marketing, selling and administrative expenses.

Gross Yields

Gross Yields represent total revenues per APCD.

Net Cruise Costs

Net Cruise Costs represent Gross Cruise Costs excluding commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. In measuring our ability to control costs in a manner that positively impacts net income, we believe changes in Net Cruise Costs to be the most relevant indicator of our performance. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Cruise Costs to projected Net Cruise Costs due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.

Net Debt-to-Capital

Net Debt-to-Capital is a ratio which represents total long-term debt, including current portion of long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents ("Net Debt") divided by the sum of Net Debt and total shareholders' equity. We believe Net Debt and Net Debt-to-Capital, along with total long-term debt and shareholders' equity are useful measures of our capital structure.

Net Revenues

Net Revenues represent total revenues less commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses.

Net Yields

Net Yields represent Net Revenues per APCD. We utilize Net Revenues and Net Yields to manage our business on a day-to-day basis as we believe that it is the most relevant measure of our pricing performance because it reflects the cruise revenues earned by us net of our most significant variable costs, which are commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Yields to projected Net Yields due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.

Occupancy

Occupancy, in accordance with cruise vacation industry practice, is calculated by dividing Passenger Cruise Days by APCD. A percentage in excess of 100% indicates that three or more passengers occupied some cabins.

Passenger Cruise Days

Passenger Cruise Days represent the number of passengers carried for the period multiplied by the number of days of their respective cruises.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise vacation company that operates Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Pullmantur, Azamara Club Cruises and CDF Croisieres de France. The company has a combined total of 38 ships in service and four under construction. It also offers unique land-tour vacations in Alaska, Asia, Australia, Canada, Europe, Latin America and New Zealand. Additional information can be found on www.royalcaribbean.com, www.celebrity.com, www.pullmantur.es, www.azamaraclubcruises.com or www.rclinvestor.com.

Certain statements in this release constitute forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goal", "intend", "may", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", "will", and similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements do not guarantee future performance and may involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied in those forward-looking statements. Examples of these risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to the following: the continuing adverse impact of the worldwide economic downturn and the persistent U.S. unemployment rate on the demand for cruises, the impact of the economic downturn on the availability of our credit facility and our ability to generate cash flows from operations or obtain new borrowings from the credit or capital markets in amounts sufficient to satisfy our capital expenditures, debt repayments and other financing needs, the impact of disruptions in the global financial markets on the ability of our counterparties and others to perform their obligations to us, the uncertainties of conducting business internationally and expanding into new markets, the volatility in fuel prices and foreign exchange rates, the impact of changes in operating and financing costs, including changes in foreign currency, interest rates, fuel, food, payroll, airfare for our shipboard personnel, insurance and security costs, impact of problems encountered at shipyards and their subcontractors including insolvency or financial difficulties, vacation industry competition and changes in industry capacity and overcapacity, the impact of compliance with or changes in tax, environmental, health, safety and other laws and regulations affecting our business or our principal shareholders, the impact of pending or threatened litigation, enforcement actions, fines or penalties, the impact of delayed or cancelled ship orders, the impact of emergency ship repairs, including the related lost revenue, the impact on prices of new ships due to shortages in available shipyard facilities, component parts and shipyard consolidations, negative incidents involving cruise ships including those involving the health and safety of passengers, reduced consumer demand for cruises as a result of any number of reasons, including geo-political and economic uncertainties and the unavailability or cost of air service, the international political climate, fears of terrorist and pirate attacks, armed conflict and the resulting concerns over safety and security aspects of traveling, the impact of the spread of contagious diseases, the impact of changes or disruptions to external distribution channels for our guest bookings, the loss of key personnel or our inability to retain or recruit qualified personnel, changes in our stock price or principal shareholders, uncertainties of a foreign legal system as we are not incorporated in the United States, the unavailability of ports of call, weather, and other factors described in further detail in Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The above examples are not exhaustive and new risks emerge from time to time. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, certain financial measures in this release constitute non-GAAP financial measures as defined by Regulation G. A reconciliation of these items can be found on our investor relations website at www.rclinvestor.com.



                              Financial Tables Follow


                            ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                       CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
                   (unaudited, in thousands, except per share data)

                                  Quarter Ended            Year Ended
                                   December 31,            December 31,
                                  ------------             ------------
                                 2009         2008        2009        2008
                                 ----         ----        ----        ----

    Passenger ticket
     revenues                $1,029,236   $1,054,088  $4,205,709  $4,730,289
    Onboard and other
     revenues                   422,431      402,189   1,684,117   1,802,236
                                -------      -------   ---------   ---------
       Total revenues         1,451,667    1,456,277   5,889,826   6,532,525
                              ---------    ---------   ---------   ---------
    Cruise operating expenses:
      Commissions,
       transportation
       and other                256,517      274,003   1,028,867   1,192,316
      Onboard and other         109,436       94,405     457,772     458,385
      Payroll and Related       176,476      169,870     681,852     657,721
      Food                       90,562       87,090     345,272     342,620
      Fuel                      162,586      182,200     600,203     722,007
      Other operating           241,668      267,252     957,136   1,030,617
                                -------      -------     -------   ---------
        Total cruise operating
         expenses             1,037,245    1,074,820   4,071,102   4,403,666
    Marketing, selling and
     administrative expenses    185,655      183,918     761,999     776,522
    Depreciation and
     amortization expenses      146,412      133,980     568,214     520,353
                                -------      -------     -------     -------
    Operating Income             82,355       63,559     488,511     831,984
                                 ------       ------     -------     -------
    Other income (expense):
      Interest income             1,902        2,973       7,016      14,116
      Interest expense, net
       of interest capitalized  (78,311)     (87,718)   (300,012)   (327,312)
      Other (expense) income     (2,593)      22,665     (33,094)     54,934
                                 ------       ------     -------      ------
                                (79,002)     (62,080)   (326,090)   (258,262)
                                -------      -------    --------    --------
    Net Income               $    3,353   $    1,479  $  162,421  $  573,722
                             ==========   ==========  ==========  ==========

    Earnings Per Share:
    Basic                         $0.02        $0.01       $0.76       $2.69
                                  =====        =====       =====       =====
    Diluted                       $0.02        $0.01       $0.75       $2.68
                                  =====        =====       =====       =====

    Weighted-Average Shares
     Outstanding:
    Basic                       213,925      213,575     213,809     213,477
                                =======      =======     =======     =======
    Diluted                     216,386      213,789     215,295     214,195
                                =======      =======     =======     =======



                                     STATISTICS

                                 Quarter Ended              Year Ended
                                  December 31,              December 31,
                                 -------------              ------------
                                2009       2008          2009          2008
                                ----       ----          ----          ----

    Passengers Carried       1,012,059    923,806     3,970,278     4,017,554

    Passenger Cruise Days    7,397,151  6,938,413    28,503,046    27,657,578

    APCD                     7,335,032  6,823,470    27,821,224    26,463,637
    Occupancy                    100.8%     101.7%        102.5%        104.5%



                            ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                             CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                          (in thousands, except share data)

                                                             As  of
                                                             ------
                                                    December 31,  December 31,
                                                         2009          2008
                                                         ----          ----
                                                    (unaudited)
    Assets
    Current assets
      Cash and cash equivalents                     $   284,619   $   402,878
      Trade and other receivables, net                  338,804       271,287
      Inventories                                       107,877        96,077
      Prepaid expenses and other assets                 180,997       125,160
      Derivative financial instruments                  114,094        81,935
                                                        -------        ------
         Total current assets                         1,026,391       977,337

    Property and equipment, net                      15,268,053    13,878,998
    Goodwill                                            792,373       779,246
    Other assets                                      1,146,677       827,729
                                                      ---------       -------
                                                    $18,233,494   $16,463,310
                                                    ===========   ===========

    Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
    Current liabilities
      Current portion of long-term debt                $756,215      $471,893
      Accounts payable                                  264,554       245,225
      Accrued interest                                  147,547       128,879
      Accrued expenses and other liabilities            487,764       687,369
      Customer deposits                               1,059,524       968,520
      Hedged firm commitments                            33,426       172,339
                                                         ------       -------
         Total current liabilities                    2,749,030     2,674,225
    Long-term debt                                    7,663,555     6,539,510
    Other long-term liabilities                         321,192       446,563

    Commitments and contingencies

    Shareholders' equity
      Preferred stock ($0.01 par value; 20,000,000
       shares authorized; none outstanding)                  -             -
      Common stock ($0.01 par value; 500,000,000
       shares authorized; 224,258,247 and 223,899,076
       shares issued, December 31, 2009 and
       December 31, 2008, respectively)                   2,243         2,239
      Paid-in capital                                 2,973,495     2,952,540
      Retained earnings                               4,754,950     4,592,529
      Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)     182,733      (319,936)
      Treasury stock (10,308,683 and 11,076,701
       common shares at cost, December 31, 2009 and
       December 31, 2008, respectively)                (413,704)     (424,360)
                                                       --------      --------
         Total shareholders' equity                   7,499,717     6,803,012
                                                      ---------     ---------
                                                    $18,233,494   $16,463,310
                                                    ===========   ===========



                           ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                      CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
                                  (in thousands)

                                                          Year Ended
                                                          December 31,
                                                          ------------
                                                        2009        2008
                                                        ----        ----
                                                    (unaudited)
    Operating Activities
    Net income                                        $162,421    $573,722
    Adjustments:
      Depreciation and amortization                    568,214     520,353
    Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
      (Increase) decrease in trade and other
       receivables, net                                 (3,633)     28,150
      Increase in inventories                          (11,295)       (140)
      (Increase) decrease in prepaid expenses and
       other assets                                     (3,085)     12,884
      Increase in accounts payable                      16,424      22,322
      Increase (decrease) in accrued interest           18,668      (3,571)
      Increase in accrued expenses and other
       liabilities                                      15,391      39,766
      Increase (decrease) in customer deposits          32,038    (118,541)
    Other, net                                          49,738      (3,690)
                                                        ------      ------
    Net cash provided by operating activities          844,881   1,071,255
                                                       -------   ---------

    Investing Activities
    Purchases of property and equipment             (2,477,549) (2,223,534)
    Cash received on settlement of derivative
     financial instruments                             110,830     269,815
    Loans and equity contributions to
     unconsolidated affiliates                        (181,683)    (52,323)
    Proceeds from the sale of Celebrity Galaxy         290,928           -
    Proceeds from sale of investment in Island
     Cruises                                                 -      51,400
    Other, net                                         (16,983)    (22,607)
                                                       -------     -------
    Net cash used in investing activities           (2,274,457) (1,977,249)
                                                    ----------  ----------

    Financing Activities
    Proceeds from issuance of debt                   2,317,158   2,223,402
    Debt issuance costs                                (61,157)    (23,872)
    Repayments of debt                                (948,467)   (987,547)
    Dividends paid                                           -    (128,045)
    Proceeds from exercise of common stock options         569       3,817
    Other, net                                           4,103      (4,369)
                                                         -----      ------
    Net cash provided by financing activities        1,312,206   1,083,386
                                                     ---------   ---------

    Effect of exchange rate changes on cash               (889)     (5,298)

    Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash
     equivalents                                      (118,259)    172,094
    Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of
     period                                            402,878     230,784
                                                       -------     -------
    Cash and cash equivalents at end of period        $284,619    $402,878
                                                      ========    ========

    Supplemental Disclosure
    Cash paid during the period for:
      Interest, net of amount capitalized             $288,458    $321,206
                                                      ========    ========



                            ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                          NON-GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION
                                     (unaudited)

    Gross Yields and Net Yields were calculated as follows (in thousands,
      except APCD and Yields):

                                      Quarter Ended            Year Ended
                                       December 31,            December 31,
                                   2009          2008        2009       2008
                                   ----          ----        ----       ----

    Passenger ticket revenues  $1,029,236    $1,054,088  $4,205,709 $4,730,289
    Onboard and other revenues    422,431       402,189   1,684,117  1,802,236
                                  -------       -------   ---------  ---------
    Total revenues              1,451,667     1,456,277   5,889,826  6,532,525
                                =========     =========   =========  =========
    Less:
      Commissions,
       transportation and
       other                      256,517       274,003   1,028,867  1,192,316
      Onboard and other           109,436        94,405     457,772    458,385
                                  -------        ------     -------    -------
    Net revenues               $1,085,714    $1,087,869  $4,403,187 $4,881,824
                               ==========    ==========  ========== ==========

    APCD                        7,335,032     6,823,470  27,821,224 26,463,637
    Gross Yields               $   197.91    $   213.42  $   211.70 $   246.85
    Net Yields                 $   148.02    $   159.43  $   158.27 $   184.47


    Gross Cruise Costs and Net Cruise Costs were calculated as follows (in
      thousands, except APCD and costs per APCD):


                                      Quarter Ended              Year Ended
                                       December 31,             December 31,
                                   2009          2008        2009       2008
                                   ----          ----        ----       ----

    Total cruise operating
     expenses                  $1,037,245    $1,074,820  $4,071,102 $4,403,666
    Marketing, selling and
     administrative expenses      185,655       183,918     761,999    776,522
                                  -------       -------     -------    -------
    Gross Cruise Costs          1,222,900     1,258,738   4,833,101  5,180,188
                                =========     =========   =========  =========
    Less:
      Commissions,
       transportation and
       other                      256,517       274,003   1,028,867  1,192,316
      Onboard and other           109,436        94,405     457,772    458,385
                                  -------        ------     -------    -------
    Net Cruise Costs           $  856,947    $  890,330  $3,346,462 $3,529,487
                               ==========    ==========  ========== ==========

    APCD                        7,335,032     6,823,470  27,821,224 26,463,637
    Gross Cruise Costs per
     APCD                      $   166.72    $   184.47  $   173.72 $   195.75
    Net Cruise Costs per
     APCD                      $   116.83    $   130.48  $   120.28 $   133.37


    Net Debt-to-Capital was calculated as follows (in thousands):

                                        As of
                             December 31,  December 31,
                             ------------  ------------
                                   2009          2008
                                   ----          ----
    Long-term debt, net of
     current portion          $ 7,663,555   $ 6,539,510
    Current portion of long-
     term debt                    756,215       471,893
                              -----------   -----------
    Total debt                  8,419,770     7,011,403
    Less: Cash and cash
     equivalents                  284,619       402,878
                                  -------       -------
    Net Debt                  $ 8,135,151   $ 6,608,525
                              ===========   ===========

    Total shareholders'
     equity                   $ 7,499,717   $ 6,803,012
    Total debt                  8,419,770     7,011,403
                              -----------   -----------
    Total debt and
     shareholders' equity      15,919,487    13,814,415
                               ==========    ==========
    Debt-to-Capital                  52.9%         50.8%
    Net Debt                    8,135,151     6,608,525
                                ---------     ---------
    Net Debt and
     shareholders' equity     $15,634,868   $13,411,537
                              ===========   ===========
    Net Debt-to-Capital              52.0%         49.3%



SOURCE Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.